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THE PRE-ELECTION POLLS OF 1948 | THE PRE-ELECTION POLLS OF 1948 | | Cetak | |
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THE PRE-ELECTION POLLS OF 1948 Report to the Committee on Analysis of Pre-election Polls and Forecasts By Frederick Mosteller Herbert Hyman Philip J. McCarthy Eli S. Marks David B. Truman With the collaboration of Leonard W. Doob Duncan MacRae Jr. Frederick F. Stephan Samuel A. Stouffer S. S. Wilks SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH COUNCIL 230 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK 17 Book by Frederick Mosteller, Social Science Research Council (U.S.) Committee on Analysis of Pre-election Polls and Forecasts; Social Science Research Council, 1949. 398 pgs. Title Page Foreword Preface by the Committee Acknowledgments Contents Chapter I: Objectives and Limitations Chapter II: Development of Election Forecasting By Polling Methods Chapter III: Election Predictions Chapter IV: The Public Presentation Of Polling Results Chapter V: Measuring the Error Conclusions Chapter VI: The Cross-Sections Used In Predicting the 1948 Elections Conclusions Chapter VII: Interviewing and Questionnaire Design Chapter VIII: Processing, Estimating, And Adjustment of Survey Data Chapter IX: Political Behavior and Voting Chapter X: Evidence Pertaining To Last-Minute Swing to Truman Chapter XI: The Undecided Voter Appendix A Report of the Committee on Analysis Of Pre-Election Polls and Forecasts Appendis B: The 1948 Presidential Election Returns Appendix C: State Samples and Survey Data on Which The Final Crossley Poll Report Was Based Appendix D: Basis for Final State Forecasts of The American Institute of Public Opinion Appendix F: The Washington State Poll And Post-Election Resurvey Appendix G: The Michigan Survey Research Center Survey And Post-Election Resurvey Appendix H: The Washington Post Plebiscite Poll Index of Names Index of Subjects Want to buy, klik: http://www.questia.com/read/8496517 |
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